Oil Steady With Fallout From Israel-Hamas War Still Contained

Oil held onto most of Monday’s surge as the Israel-Hamas war remained contained and Saudi Arabia pledged to help ensure market stability.

West Texas Intermediate traded near $86 a barrel after a war-risk premium returned to the market on Monday following Hamas’ surprise attack on the weekend. The kingdom reiterated its support for efforts by OPEC+ to balance oil markets and for “everything” that would contribute to enhancing the growth of the global economy, the state-run Saudi Press Agency reported.

Almost 2,000 people have died on both sides so far in the conflict, with Israel building a base next to the Gaza Strip to accommodate tens of thousands of soldiers and the US vowing to provide the country with full support. The risk remains that the war could expand and drag in other nations in the Middle East, which accounts for about a third of the world’s crude supply.

Any proof that Iran, a supporter of Hamas, was directly involved in the attack could pose a threat to oil flows. The main risks are stricter enforcement of American sanctions on the country’s crude exports or blockades or attacks by Tehran on vessels in key shipping lanes. Iran has denied involvement and the White House said it has no confirmation that the nation planned or directed the assault. 

“The risk of the war broadening across the regions remains the chief concern,” ANZ Group Holdings Ltd. analysts Brian Martin and Daniel Hynes said in a note. Saudi Arabia’s pledge to help OPEC+ stabilize the market, could see spare capacity released in the event that disruptions occur elsewhere, they said.

WTI for November delivery was little changed at $85.98 a barrel at 9:38 a.m. in Singapore.

Brent for December settlement rose 0.1% to $87.73 a barrel.

Source : Bloomberg